Thursday, February 20, 2020

This just in from Kerry Cassidy... Lies

        Today, Kerry Cassidy reports that she has interviewed the convicted murderer Mark Richards yet again, and he has news about COVID-19, formerly known by the generic name coronavirus.

Here it is, in the most dishonest nutshell you ever came across:
« 100,000 people in China [are] involved in the virus. 30% have died, 30% are infected and 40% are taken off-world by Reptilians assisting China in their drive to eliminate approx. 500 million people ...

Those humans taken off-world, according to Mark, by Reptilians, are sold to other races for food and used as sex slaves. This virus will mutate and other governments are using it to facilitate eliminating some of their populations as well. One-quarter of a million people will die of the virus this year.»
The true figures as of today, per the Johns Hopkins online tracker, are:

Confirmed cases: 75,788, of which 74,588  (98.4%) in Mainland China
Deaths: 2,132 (2.8%)
Recovered 16, 910

=====Update: 10 days later (1st March) =============
Confirmed cases: 88,108, of which 79,826  (98.4%) in Mainland China
Deaths: 2,995 (3.6%)
Recovered 42,716

=====Update: another 12 days later (13th March) ======
Confirmed cases: 137,066, of which 80,945  (59%) in Mainland China
Deaths: 5069 (3.6%)
Recovered 69,643

        The People's Daily released video ten days ago, showing a fleet of trucks disinfecting the streets of Wuhan with a mix of propyl alcohol and bleach.

        So there's no doubt about the seriousness of this outbreak. But Kerry Cassidy is once again guilty of promoting UTTER BULLSHIT. I promise I'll be back at the end of the year when Mark Richards' prediction can be assessed with certainty. Given that Richards is now serving a life sentence in Vacaville jail, with no special access to sources, I'm very confident that I will be telling him, if he's listening, that he was wrong.

        In fact, we did not have to wait very long for a quarter of a million deaths. That benchmark was reached on 5th May. By then 3,662,691 cases had been confirmed—the true figure almost certainly much higher.


Chris Lopes said...

"I'm very confident that I will be telling him, if he's listening, that he was wrong."

And I will use my awesome psychic powers (a result of a super secret super soldier program) to predict that the sun will rise in the east, spring will follow fall, and Donald Trump will say something stupid.

Two Percent said...

It's not just KC and MR who are guilty of telling lies regarding "COVID-19"...

I've been following the Coronavirus outbreak very closely myself. Been watching John Hopkins data since late January.

"X-purts" around the world have been telling us the Death Rate is, ehh, maybe 2%, probably less, definitely below 3%.

That is a lie, for sure. (So as not to incite panic, possibly, but a lie all the same.)

When I first found the JH site, the "Apparent" (estimated or early indicative) Death Rate was 56%. This is based on the correct information required to calculate the Death Rate of this virus, which is calculated from the number of Fatalities and the number of people who have Recovered, and at that stage, only JH seemed to be publishing the Recoveries data.

It is a lie to say the Death Rate is the Number of Fatalities divided by the Total Number of infections. That is only true once the outbreak is over, and everyone infected thereby has either died or recovered. That is certainly not the case when the number of infections (those whose outcomes are not known) is growing every day. And this virus clearly has a very long recovery cycle.

Of course, without proper data (all we have been getting), it is not possible to calculate it accurately, but as expected, the rate is trending downwards. This is because of timing issues. People who die generally do so as their fever approaches its peak, or sometime thereafter, while people who recover pass through the peak but must then rid themselves of the virus, a process which takes much longer.

So, from an unidentifiable sample, the deaths occur before the recoveries, which skews the data towards a high value, until the recoveries catch up.

One thing we can be sure of is that the rate is nowhere near the 2.8% figure quoted here by dividing Total Deaths by Total Infections i.e. 2,132/75,788. (Compare with the recent White Island Eruption scenario. Early deaths were low, final almost 45%.)

The apparent Death Rate is Known Deaths / Known Total Resolved cases i.e. 2,132/(2,132+75,788) which is over 11%. The ultimate death rate might be around 10%, except for one thing.

We are not getting the true data.

My sources tell me that many of the dead in China are not being properly recorded. Probably due to a severe lack of resources, they are not being tested to find out if they were infected. While it is assumed they were, and are immediately bagged and shipped off to the furnace, they are not recorded as virus victims unless they had already been confirmed as infected. If you know life in China, this is not that surprising.

We have already seen the step change when China "adjusted" they way it was recording data, but this hasn't really solved the problem at all.

One thing we have to remember - like most Asians, the Chinese utterly hate to lose face. They always downplay negative news, and their media is censored. So, they are not telling the West the truth.

Well, not in words, anyway.

However, they know what they are dealing with, which is why most of the country is in virtual lockdown. What we can say is that Actions Speak Louder than words.

The City of Wuhan has about 11 million residents. Apparently 5 million left before the lockdown, many carrying the virus with them. However, (can't name my source, but) since sometime in January, they have been short of body bags. Maybe body bags were not a high demand item previously, but surely a city of that size is going to stock more than a couple of hundred.

There is so much more to this than meets the eye or gets to the news...

I don't know how Mark Richards would know anything meaningful, but despite the ridiculous references to Reptilians etc, he might not be so far off the mark.

This thing is serious. And very interesting.

expat said...

Thankyou, 0.02, very interesting, and everything you write here is totally believable. It crossed my mind, too, that on 1st January 2021 I may be eating crow. Quarter of a mil isn't a ridiculous target in the circumstances. But I promise I'll do it—my calendar is marked.

Two Percent said...

Thanks ep,

Apologies for typo / proof reading failure.

The typed apparent death rate figures are wrong but the result is still correct. Should have been:

2,132 / (2,132 + 16,910) => 11%

Two Percent said...


Love the double-entendre!

You may indeed be eating crow - if you make it. I believe we are in the highest risk group, so neither of us may be here to see it...

Of course, the world so easily forgets, but you will remember the "Spanish 'flu" of 1918/1919. Another massive lie, apparently. An "own goal", misusing US Troops as Vaccine Test subjects, gone badly wrong, apparently. Some equine-derived concoction, I believe, directly injected... Ooops.

There are no exact stats for that one either, but it spread across the world long before airliners were flying across oceans like there's no tomorrow.

The indications are that it killed 50-100 million people.

This time, the targeting (and timing) is, perhaps, a little more accurate.

And the Earth's population at the time was only about 500 million. So, kill rate 10-20%!

Not to be alarmist or anything. I'm going with George Bernard Shaw, on cynicism...

There's more.... Later.

THE said...

The Coronavirus has reportedly been spliced in the same four locations of the DNA strand as has SARS; so it's engineered. Apparently it's no more deadly than a typical flu bug, but perhaps the tactical military advantage would be to subject enemy troops to a strain for which they have no current immunity, so as to weaken and demoralize them prior to mass invasion?

Coincidentally, China is currently in simultaneous epidemics of Swine and Bird Flu, as well, having to slaughter and waste most chickens and pigs, resulting in Xi, surrendering the Trade War, and dropping all sanctions against US products.

Trekker said...

I've just come back from vacation, where a group of Chinese-American tourists we met told us that the 'official' numbers being released by the Chinese authorities were nowhere near the truth, and that they know, from relatives on the ground in China, that the numbers of both infections, and deaths are far higher - in the tens of thousands. If true, that should give us pause for thought.

Two Percent said...

THE, mon ami(e),

I can't quite agree:

"Apparently it's no more deadly than a typical flu bug"

According to the WHO:

in a typical year, the 'flu infects an estimated 30 million in the US, and kills a mere 40,000. That amounts to a Death Rate of a meager 0.133%

In contrast COVid-19 is killing around 10% based on "Official" figures, and probably far more based on unofficial reports.

I am interested to know where you got the data regarding the DNA splicing. Care to share? I have complementary information, if that helps.

BTW, I made another mistake earlier. The Spanish 'flu was estimated to infect about 1/3 of the world's then population of 1.5 billion. The 500 mil I mentioned was the estimated number of infections.

expat said...

I was wondering about the splice-site info, too. Theadora is not known as an accurate source of information on any topic.

COVID-19 is a single-stranded positive-sense RNA virus. I thought it was only retroviruses that inserted themselves into cellular DNA.

Two Percent said...


We don’t often agree, so it’s great to be in accord on this. Well, not so great, but you know what I mean.

What you report echoes exactly what my own Chinese sources have been saying.

Effectively, multiply the official figures by 10 if not 50!!

expat said...

OK, I just refreshed my memory of all this stuff I used to know so well, and here's my understanding FWIW:

Retroviruses are single-strand RNA written in reverse. They use an enzyme called reverse transcriptase to turn themselves into a double-stranded DNA fragment. This then inserts itself into the host DNA at a random site, and the normal processes then take over. Transcriptase preoduces messenger RNA (mRNA) that then trots off to the ribosome for transcription into protein.

sspsRNA viruses like COVID-19 skip the intermediate steps, and go direct to the ribosome, saying "Hello, I'm mRNA, please transcribe me". Apparently the ribosome buys the story and obediently churns out whatever nasty protein the virus wants to take over the world with.

If this is all correct, Theadora's text is rubbish.

expat said...

...and what a surprise that would be.

Two Percent said...

Thanks for that expat.

My interpretation of The’s comment is that the virus’ xNA (such details as RNA or DNA don’t trouble The) itself has been modified to make it what it is.

I have also seen a credible story which says that it is an artificially modified SARS Virus. Will post the link later.

As I see it, the whole story smells worse than the supposed Steven Paddock acting alone LV Massacre fairy tale. Too many “convenient “ coincidences.

FWIW, my name for it is the WARS Virus, and that the gist of what THE said is correct.

THE said...

“Uncanny similarity of unique inserts in the 2019-nCoV spike protein to HIV-1 gp120 and Gag”

Our analysis of the spike glycoprotein of 2019-nCoV revealed several interesting findings: First, we identified 4 unique inserts in the 2019-nCoV spike glycoprotein that are not present in any other coronavirus reported till date. To our surprise, all the 4 inserts in the 2019-nCoV mapped to short segments of amino acids in the HIV-1 gp120 and Gag among all annotated virus proteins in the NCBI database. This uncanny similarity of novel inserts in the 2019- nCoV spike protein to HIV-1 gp120 and Gag is unlikely to be fortuitous.

expat said...

Nice to see Indian microbiologists prominent in this field of study. If you're thinking that this is support for your mistaken idea that a coronavirus splices into the DNA, think again Theadora. Spike glycoprotein refers to a particular site on the viral envelope that enables it to bind to receptors on the host cell.

A SIMPLE TRUTH: RNA cannot insert into DNA.

THE said...

I never claimed to be a virologist, Patterick. Are you saying that Coronavirus and SARS are not similarly, artificially, engineered in a lab?

Sam Donald's Son said...

Expat makes a good argument for what's entirely besides the point, as if to obfuscate premeditation for the epidemic, but for benefit of whom?

expat said...

Theadora: Read my text again, please. That's not what I'm saying at all, but the evidence for deliberate genetic engineering is absent.

Sam: Thanks for the comment. My mini-lectures are for the benefit of the readers of this blog. Education is always a good thing, I believe. As the French say, « Je vais me coucher ce soir moins con »

Germonimo said...

Dear Honorable Mister Expat Sir:

Are you being facetious, sarcastic, or just plain making a back handed compliment to Injuns?

expat said...

It was more of a front-handed compliment, I thought.

Germonimo said...

Then you honestly do admire the Indian scientists for their skepticism that Coronavirus is a natural mutation? The implication of course, is that US and Chinese governments aren't forthcoming about the true origins, either because they have something to hide, or else that they are truly ignorant.

expat said...

Germon: I find your interpretation of the Indian paper eccentric, probably unjustified. As I read it they are saying that COVID-19 may be more closely related to HIV than is gnerally recognized, that's all.

Germonimo said...

That's ALL???

"This uncanny similarity of novel inserts in the 2019- nCoV spike protein to HIV-1 gp120 and Gag is unlikely to be fortuitous."

expat said...

"...unlikely to be fortuitous" means "likely to be inherited" in my reading.

I can't say that's ALL because I've only read the abstract.

Germonimo said...

Well, you seem more certain than does Ken Cuccinelli, the acting deputy secretary of the Department of Homeland Security.

Two Percent said...

xPat, I disagree.

The dictionary meaning should prevail.

adjective: fortuitous

happening by chance rather than intention.
"the similarity between the paintings may not be simply fortuitous"

Unlikely to be by chance, therefore more likely to be by intention - being the true meaning of the word - Yes?

Echoing what I said before, there are just far too many convenient "coincidences".

Like HIV
Like Ebola
Like what else? Bird 'flu? MERS? "Spanish 'flu"?

The first two are enough? How is that going to happen by accident? Eventually, by random mutations, maybe, in a few million years.


The best words on death rate I've found so far:

Now that we have a smidgen more data, we can be more accurate. Current range maybe 5 - ~15% - but it sure isn't the official 1 or 2%. (So sad!)

Interestingly, the D/R outside China is higher than reported from China, which would indicate the already mentioned unreliability of the Chinese figures, especially given the relative levels of medical technology and resourcing burdens.

By various accounts, it's living Hell in China - a war zone. So, WARS virus!

And Japan is in grave danger, mainly it seems due to typical Japanese pride (stupidity), as occurred at Fukushima. "Ignore the news, don't wear masks, go to work, use the train..." Already people have been infected, apparently in the subway system.

Not by chance, I say.

expat said...

Germo: "you seem more certain than does Ken Cuccinelli, the acting deputy secretary of the Department of Homeland Security."

I dunno, I don't think our opinions are that different. He said "I will say the reading that I have done of medical professionals suggest that the structure of the virus seems unlikely to have been man-made because if it was made to be a threat, you would expect to see certain characteristics that aren’t present.”

2% writeth:
Echoing what I said before, there are just far too many convenient "coincidences".

Like HIV
Like Ebola
Like what else? Bird 'flu? MERS? "Spanish 'flu"?

The first two are enough? How is that going to happen by accident?
expat sayeth:
As previously noted, this virus is a Positive-sense single-stranded RNA virus. That means it's like all the other ps-ss-RNA viri. Indeed that family includes some familiar names. Hepatitis C, West Nile, even the common cold. Not ebola, however.

How does it happen? Living organisms are grouped in families that share biological characteristics. Here's a list of the families in the order passeriforme of the class aves. These happen to be songbirds. Aren't we lucky that there aren't as many ps-ss-RNA viri?

Two Percent said...


I think you didn't get my point, but never mind.

You didn't even respond to the fortuitous comments, but that's the way it's done. Attack what you think you can and ignore what you can't.

I just look at the major recent historical disease outbreaks around the world, and I note an interesting pattern that doesn't appear to fit with naturally evolved developments.

I particularly like:

He said "I will say the reading that I have done of medical professionals suggest that the structure of the virus seems unlikely to have been man-made because if it was made to be a threat, you would expect to see certain characteristics that aren’t present.”

What a vacuous, disingenuous, typically political statement!

Says who? *Who* would expect...? Who's talking about 'threat'? This virus ain't no "threat". It's a population reduction device, plain and simple.

What characteristics denote, or suggest, man-made viruses? So, we do have some of those, indeed! What, like SARS, MERS...? Name a few!

expat said...

« You didn't even respond to the fortuitous comments »

You missed it. Try again. COVID-19 is one of a family of ps-ss-RNA viruses. Other members of the same family are SARS, Hepatitis C, West Nile...

FAMILIES of organisms by definition share characteristics. The enormous list of song birds I cited is a list of familes that share almost every charactertistic on the menu. The difference between species, in this case, might only be a slightly different tail feather or a very subtle difference in the song.

It makes no sense at all, then, to look at the family of ps-ss-RNA viruses, note their similarities and say "Oh, what a coincidence!" or "Oh, how fortuitous!" YES OF COURSE THEY SHARE CHARACTERISTICS. THAT'S EVOLUTION, BABY.

Two Percent said...


You missed it. Try again. COVID-19 is one of a family of ...

Ohh. That's what that was supposed to be. A response to unlikely to be fortuitous, having the meaning "intentional". Yes, I missed it!

But since you have chosen to compare to birds, let's go down that track to explain what I was trying to say.

So, we have many types of birds. Examples include song birds, birds of prey, aquatic birds, marine birds, nocturnal birds, binocular-sighted birds and monocular-sighted birds, migratory birds, flightless birds etc. Sure, they are all birds and share all the common bird characteristics that place them into the group known as birds.

My point is that one kind of bird (e.g. a flightless bird like an ostrich) doesn't suddenly pick up the characteristic of winged flight. And then it doesn't suddenly also acquire binocular vision and become a song bird, all within the space of a few thousand generations.

But that's what appears to have happened with "COVid-19".

It's become "super-bird"...

By what natural evolutionary mechanism, please tell. Where has it been suddenly acquiring and developing all these new abilities, while we didn't know about it? What host(s) has it been employing? All the apparent donor viruses supposedly originated in completely different host animals and locations, but suddenly, Hey Presto!

Super virus!

Suddenly, it jumps to humans. Why not the earlier versions, sooner?

Supposedly from bats. Oh, maybe snakes (Yeah, Right - cold blooded snakes - what moron dreamed that one up?). Oh, maybe Pangolins? Jumped from camels, and from birds, and wherever else. Must have been to meerkats, then to us! So where did HIV spring from, while we're on that theme?

Apparently from the 1790's:

Ring-a-ring o' roses,
A pocket full of posies,
A-tishoo! A-tishoo!
We all fall down.

How easily the world forgets.

FWIW, the virus is now on a linear growth path in China, but is exploding exponentially everywhere else.


Go to the small graph, bottom right. Click the 'Expand' circle to the upper right.

Now click on the radio buttons "Mainland China" and "Total Recovered".

What do you get!?

Good Luck, world...

expat said...

You make some good points, but I reject your suggestion that recent evolution of COVID-19 is analagous to an ostrich suddenly acquiring flight.

The idea that COVID-19, Ebola, SARS, bird-flu.. etc. have been going about their business killing bats and pangolins for centuries without us noticing doesn't seem strange to me. What is strange is that they should all have made the jump to humans within a (human) generation.

chrisl said...

This video from the excellent 3Blue1Brown on EweTube is enlightening.

Exponential growth and epidemics

Two Percent said...

Forgive me, expat:

I reject your suggestion that recent evolution of COVID-19 is analogous(Sp) to an ostrich suddenly acquiring flight.

I was being a little facetious (and extreme) with the choice of bird (and its false reputation for sticking its head in the sand when endangered).

The truth is that viruses do swap chunks of xNA on a regular basis, rapidly giving them abilities they did not evolve.

What IS amazing to me is that viruses haven't long since wiped us all out, especially as there are no real cures, and they seemingly couldn't possess the intelligence to moderate their virility for their own long term survival. Ain't life futile?

I certainly do agree with you from one POV about the sudden jump to humans, but the sudden amalgamation of characteristics is no mystery, if you consider intelligent involvement. By whom is the real question, but certain recent major outbreaks seem to fit a pattern and frequency that reinforces this notion.

Thanks chrisl, the video is informative, though perhaps not as easy for laypeople to understand as it could be. Maybe there's a better one I can link people to?

Anyway, it's pretty clear that almost every country outside China is not doing enough. OTOH, to me it appears that many countries actually want to get themselves infected, in some egalitarian, Lemming-like leap off the cliffs. It's as if there's been a high level directive that says every country must get this (virus infection), for it to be fair and equal. And to therefore reduce global populations sufficiently.

According to JHU, the total of infected countries is now 115, and it appears that God is not protecting "his people" as even the Holy See has at least one case.

Isn't it peculiar that old people are at greatest risk of elimination, while babies and children have almost no risk? Sounds like a Capitalist dream, except for the loss of revenue to be had caring for the elderly until their funds are exhausted. And maybe that's also part of the plan, since it (milking the elderly until dry) is completely unproductive and quite an unethical business practice.

But humans will never agree to take such measures voluntarily, so compulsion is the only realistic solution.

Interesting story once here:

Now deleted. Found in Gugel cache (for now...)

Punchline: "somebody was entangled with the evolution of 2019-nCoV coronavirus."

From original report entitled "The possible origins of 2019-nCoV coronavirus", by Chinese researchers, is evidently now disappearing from the Inyernet. Fake News or Real Truth?

chrisl said...

Here's a couple of new vids with some welcome info from experts in their fields.

Joe Rogan with Michael Osterholm, an expert on infectious disease epidemiology

Sam Harris with Nicholas Christakis, an expert on network science and health

These vids debunk all the conspiracy bollocks and misinformation out there, some of it from the media.